A Plague of Locusts for Israel as World Nuclear Industry Woes Deepen ?

Worldwide Nuclear Industry Woes Deepen

 

The year 2011 will go down for the nuclear industry worldwide as an annus horribilis.

First came the March Fukushima nuclear disaster, with operator Tokyo Electric Power Co. (TEPCO) belatedly acknowledging that three of the facility's six reactors did, in fact, suffer core meltdowns.

 

On 20 June Moody's Investors Service obligingly cut its credit rating on TEPCO to junk status and kept the operator of Japan's crippled nuclear power plant on review for possible further downgrade, citing uncertainty over the fate of its bailout plan. TEPCO is Japan's largest corporate bond issuer and its shares are widely held by financial institutions. TEPCO shares have plummeted 80 percent since March, dragging its market capitalization below $9 billion. Following the Fukushima crisis, including a round of emergency loans from lenders and $64 billion in outstanding bonds, TEPCO now has around $115 billion in debt versus equity of about $35 billion. It's enough to make any self-respecting Japanese salaryman commit hara-kiri.

 

Farther to the west, the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission is closely monitoring conditions along the Missouri River, where floodwaters were rising at Nebraska Public Power District's Cooper Nuclear Station and Omaha Public Power District's Fort Calhoun nuclear power plant. Flooding could complicate the restart of the Fort Calhoun plant, shut in April for refueling, as the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers expects record water release from the federal dams along the Missouri River to continue until mid-August. The failure on Friday of a Missouri River levee in northwest Missouri offered the imperiled plants a brief reprieve from possible flooding, although Nebraska officials nervously expect the river's waters to rise again.

 

Completing the trifecta and adding to the perfect storm is news of a work stoppage at Israel's secretive Dimona nuclear power station. The only thing that Dimona officials fear more than publicity is bad publicity and Israel's Channel 10 is reporting that Dimona employees have decided to enact work sanctions after ongoing negotiations have failed to bring an end to a dispute over their work conditions. Beginning Sunday, external workers will not be allowed to work in Dimona, and the union may shut down the core completely in the coming weeks if their demands are not met. The labor dispute is between the Treasury and the reactor's managers, who are demanding salary reimbursement comparable to that of nuclear researchers.

 

And the hits just keep on coming.

 

The Israeli Atomic Energy Commission is preparing to make a presentation to a special session of the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) in Vienna to outline new steps to supervise Israel's two nuclear reactors, the 24-megawatt Dimona reactor and a 5-megawatt Center for Nuclear Research reactor at Nahal Sorek and the handling of their nuclear waste. Israel's Atomic Energy Commission head is leading the Israeli delegation.

 

It is likely to be a contentious meeting. The United States provided the Nahal Sorek reactor to Israel in the 1960s as part of the Atoms for Peace Program. The reactor is under IAEA supervision and is visited by international inspectors twice a year.

 

Dimona, on the other hand, was supplied to Israel by France in 1958 and is widely believed to provide fissile material for Israel's nuclear weapons program. Buttressing these concerns is the fact that Israel is not a signatory to the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty and refuses to allow IAEA inspectors to supervise or even visit Dimona. Israel's protestations over the benign nature of Dimona's activities received a worldwide blow in 1986 when a technician at Dimona, Mordechai Vanunu, revealed an account of Israeli covert nuclear weapons production there, complete with photographs, to London's Sunday Times. An infuriated Israeli government subsequently kidnapped him in Rome, returning him to Israel for trial on charges of treason and espionage in a closed court, where he received and served a 18-year sentence, 11 of them in solitary, for having the temerity to reveal Israel's covert nuclear military program to the world.

 

According to an Arab diplomatic source speaking to Kuwait's KUNA news agency, Arab nations are demanding that the IAEA inspect Israel's nuclear facilities at an international nuclear security conference, which opened at IAEA headquarters in Vienna on Monday. Arab nations maintain that Israel's unmonitored nuclear program, led by Dimona's aging reactor, pose an unacceptable risk to Middle Eastern nations without proper IAEA supervision. Further upping the ante, the diplomatic source stated that the participating Arab delegations are renewing calls for Israel to sign to the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty as well opening its nuclear facilities to regular IAEA supervision. In the wake of Fukushima such calls are certain to receive a more sympathetic hearing.

 

Between Vienna and labor woes, its enough to make an Israeli nuclear official wish for something more manageable, like a plague of locusts.

 

Source: http://oilprice.com/Alternative-Energy/Nuclear-Power/Worldwide-Nuclear-Industry-Woes-Deepen.html

 

By. Dr. John C.K. Daly for OilPrice.com. For more information on oil prices and other commodity related topics please visit www.oilprice.com


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What a difference a tsunami makes - Kazakhstan's Uranium Industry

Kazakhstan's Uranium Industry Could Lose Its Luster

What a difference a year and a tsunami make...

Western investors have been salivating over the post-Soviet space's energy riches since the 1991 collapse of communism. While focusing on the Caspian's hydrocarbon reserves other mineralogical riches awaited development as well, none more so than Kazakhstan's vast uranium deposits.

Given an investor-friendly government in Astana, the country's uranium deposits seemed to be the Next Big Thing, an attitude encouraged by the government of President Nursultan Nazarbayev. Kazakhstan contains the world's second-largest uranium reserves, estimated at 1.5 million tons. Until 2009 Kazakhstan was the world's No. 3 uranium miner, exceeded only by Australia and Canada; the three countries account for more than half of global uranium production.

A mere five years ago Kazakhstan produced 5,279 tons of uranium, 21 percent more than in 2005.

Even better, local markets seemed assured in the form of Asia's rising economic powerhouses China and India. China's Commission of Science Technology and Industry for National Defense in its 11th Five-Year Plan for the Nuclear Industry said China intended to produce 40 gigawatts of nuclear power electrical generating capacity by 2020. Even though nuclear power currently accounts for just 1.4 percent of China's electrical power generation, China's planned nuclear power reactors were estimated to need 44 million pounds of uranium annually, as more than 16 provinces, regions and municipalities announced intentions to build NPPS, bringing the country's total of 77 planned and proposed new reactors.

Similarly India, where nuclear power currently accounts for a paltry 3-4 percent of the country's power needs; India has 19 planned and proposed nuclear power reactors, announced similar development plans.

Seeking to feed its neighbor's ambitions, in February 2009 Kazakh Minister for Energy and Mineral Resources Sauat Mynbayev announced to the Mazhilis parliamentary chamber that Kazakhstan's state-owned nuclear company Kazatomprom intended to boost uranium production by 40 percent in 2009 to 11,900 tons compared to 2008's output of 8,512 tons, with two new mines, Khorasan-1 and Khorasan-2 coming online. In contract, in 1997, six years after independence, 1997 Kazakhstan produced a mere 795 tons of the silvery metal.

The only snag in this rosy picture was that uranium, unlike other energy commodities in the global market, is not traded freely. Currently about 15 percent of uranium is sold via the spot market while long-term contract pricing accounts for the remaining 85 percent, which benefits consumers as it locks in long-term prices to the detriment of producers. It is a situation that the Kazakh government expressed interest in changing, in September 2008 floating the idea of establishing what to all intents and purposes would be an international uranium commodity market.

In December 2009 Kazatomprom announced it had passed Canada and Australia to become the largest miner of uranium in the world, increasing the country's 2009 uranium production by 63 percent to 13,900 tons, roughly 30 percent of the world's output. In 2010 Kazakhstan increased its uranium output to 17,803 tons a 27% increase over its 2009.

Ever optimistic, Kazakhstan has put a brave face on its uranium mining industry in the wake of the Fukushima tragedy.

Speaking at the Minex conference in Astana on 5-7April, Kazatomprom president Vladimir Shkol'nik downplayed the impact of the Fukushima crisis, stating that it would not greatly influence the Kazakh state atomic company's plans.

Immediately after the Fukushima disaster the uranium spot price tanked from over $70 per pound to just $49 per pound but has since recovered rebounding to over $60, well above 2009's average price.

For all of Astana's bravado, the long-term consequences of Fukushima's impact remain unclear. Germany and Switzerland have both announced plans to shutter their nuclear plants, while Italian voters earlier this month overwhelmingly rejected a referendum to restart the country's nuclear program. While currently abandonment of nuclear power remains an option limited to affluent countries, one more cataclysm may nail the coffin lid of the nuclear power industry shut for good.

And that news may be coming from the United States, birthplace of the nuclear era and currently home to 104 NPPs. On 7 June, a fire at Nebraska's Fort Calhoun nuclear power plant knocked out the cooling process for spent nuclear fuel rods for 90 minutes. The NPP, adjacent to the still-flooding Missouri River, is close to the capital Omaha and has been closed since April for refueling. According to local NBC affiliate WOWT, "The Ft. Calhoun Nuclear Facility is an island right now but it is one that authorities say is going to stay dry. They say they have a number of redundant features to protect the facility from flood waters that include the aqua dam, earthen berms and sandbags." A spokesman for Omaha Public Power District says the plant is at a "notification of unusual event" classification because of the flooding.

 

In an era of globalization, Ol' Man River may drown Kazakhstan's hopes for its uranium mining industry, as another nuclear debacle in the U.S. following in the wake 1979's Three Mile Island accident will undoubtedly prove too much, even for Madison Ave.'s PR spin doctors. No NPPS have been built in the U.S. since Three Mile Island and should bad things happen at Ft. Calhoun, where the Missouri's water's are still rising, the global market for uranium fuel for NPPs worldwide is going to crater, beginning with the U.S.

Source: http://oilprice.com/Energy/Energy-General/Kazakhstans-Uranium-Industry-Could-Lose-Its-Luster.html

By. Dr. John C.K. Daly for OilPrice.com. For more information on oil prices and other commodity related topics please visit www.oilprice.com
  

...

 

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Nuclear Twilight in Europe and the only nuclear energy growth is in lawyers' fees ...

It is becoming evident to many that the March nuclear catastrophe at Japan's six reactor Daichi Fukushima complex has dealt a huge, possibly fatal, blow to the nuclear industry's hopes of a revival.

A year ago even global warming enthusiasts reluctantly embraced nuclear power as a carbon-free energy generating system, and the industry was ramping up for glory days as a result.

The triple whammy against nuclear power beginning with the 1979 partial meltdown at Three Mile Island, followed by 1986's Chernobyl 

disaster and now Fukushima, effectively present a "three strikes and you're out" call against civilian nuclear energy power generation for the foreseeable future.

That said, with the trillions of dollars already invested in 436 nuclear power plants (NNP) worldwide, according to the International Atomic energy Agency (IAEA),  the industry has begun to push back, and "ground zero" is emerging as Europe, not Japan, with the lawyers circling.

In the wake of Fukushima, German Chancellor Angela Merkel announced on 30 May that Germany, the world's fourth-largest economy and Europe's biggest, would shut down all of its 17 would abandon nuclear energy completely between 2015 and 2022, an extraordinary commitment, given that Germany's 17 NPPS Germany produce about 28 percent of the country's electricity.

If Berlin's announcement sent nuclear power proponents seating, worse was to follow, as Switzerland is examining a proposal to phase out the country's five nuclear plants by 2034.

Finally, if any doubts existed about Europe's commitment of nuclear energy, on 12-13 June in a referendum in which 56 percent of Italian voters participated, an eye-watering 94 percent voted against nuclear power.  Following the 1987 Chernobyl disaster, Italy decided to shut down its four NPPs and the last operating plant closed in 1990. Three years ago Prime Minister Silvio Berlusconi reversed this decision but after Fukushima Berlusconi announced a one-year moratorium on his plans for new nuclear power plants, intending to restart Italy's nuclear energy program in 2014. Berlusconi spent the days leading up to the polls challenging the nuclear power measure in court, declaring he wouldn't vote and suggesting his fellow Italians stay at home too. They didn't, and Berlusconi's electoral defeat has ended nuclear possibilities for Italy for the foreseeable future. In 2010, 22.2 percent of Italy's power came from renewable energy sources. 64.8 percent were from fossil fuels, and 13 percent were imported sources, including French nuclear power. The stinging defeat at the polls is a boon for Italy's nascent renewable energy industry.

The German nuclear industry has begun to fight back, insisting that its shut-down would cause major damage to the country's industrial base. Utilities E.ON AG and Vattenfall Europe AG have already announced that they will seek billions of euros in compensation, and RWE AG and EnBW Energie Baden-Wuerttemberg AG are expected to follow soon. Germany's four nuclear operators have already announced they will stop paying into a government renewables fund, which was set up in September 2010 as compensation for longer nuclear life-spans.

In such an environment, the only nuclear energy growth field currently is lawyers' fees.

Source: http://oilprice.com/Alternative-Energy/Nuclear-Power/Nuclear-Twilight-in-Europe.html

By John Daly for OilPrice.com


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FECIF: European Commission work programme for 2011

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#Breaking #News : #FECIF petitions the European Parliament

'' Our Federation represents approximately 300,000 financial services

intermediaries operating across the 27 EU Member States

(www.fecif.org).

As much as we welcome the legislative proposals of the European

Commission on establishing a new institutional framework for

financial supervision in the EU and as much we share the

Commission’s objectives to enhance financial architecture in the EU

in an ambitious way, upgrading the quality and consistency of

supervision, we are extremely worried that financial intermediaries

(600,000 to 650,000 professionals today) representing and servicing

50 to 100 millions EU consumers may be excluded from the

management process of the new three Supervisory Authorities

(ESMA, EBA and EIOPA – “ESA’s”) which will be set up.

We are ready to actively contribute to further refinements of the

legislative proposals and to provide our input into building effective

new Supervisory Authorities with appropriate participation of the

representative of the industry. It will help a better implementation –

better understanding – of EU rules, and create a stronger image of

the EU amongst the Public.

People who know how the system works, representatives of the real

economy would add value to the work of the regulators.

Therefore, we have few general comments:

1. The plan raises questions regarding the institutional balance

within the EU: FECIF emphasizes that the Commission must

continue to fulfill its duties as guardian of Treaty guaranteed

freedoms, in particular freedom to provide services and

freedom of establishment, and to act as the spokesman for the

Community, as opposed to national interest.

2. This means that the Commission must not abdicate or

delegate its traditional roles. Similarly, FECIF calls upon the

Commission to reiterate its support for Single Market freedoms,

the principle of home-country control and the single licence and

passport regimes and, therefore, to condemn any attempt by

host States to “re-nationalize” supervisory competence.

3. Cross-border operators need to know that the Commission will

act upon complaints from individual companies and, where

necessary, will promptly institute infringement proceedings

against Member States.

4. The new architecture will be expensive, as will the proposals

which will accompany it; it should not be at the cost of the

creativity and dynamism of cross-border providers. Needless to

say that harmonized rules which set maximum standards and

should so prevent “gold-plating” by national authorities are a

preferable outcome to the “…differences in the national

transposition of Community Law stemming from exceptions,

derogations, additions or ambiguities in current Directives”.

5. FECIF agrees that these differences and exceptions must be

identified and removed, in particular with regard to precontractual

and contractual information disclosures.

6. Where a high standard is set Community-wide (taking into

account the specific features of each financial sector’s

services), no exceptions, derogations or other national

provisions are required.

7. At present, FECIF members often find that national differences,

derogations and other measures render access to a host State

market unnecessarily and unjustifiably difficult, expensive and

slow.

We reiterate the concerns expressed by EU intermediaries that, faced

with a preponderance of the banking sector, the ESA’s must also be

aware of the intermediaries’ perspective.

FECIF agrees to publication of this letter.

Yours sincerely,

Vincent J.Derudder

Secretary General'

 

 

 

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Lettre EC 171009.pdf (20 KB)

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Lettre EP 280211.pdf (86 KB)